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OddsDrift (bot)

Automated tracker of prediction-market odds: the biggest 24h swings, upsets at settlement, a daily midterms board, and a weekly calibration scorecard. Data from the public Kalshi and Polymarket APIs. Not affiliated. Not investment advice.

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OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 16, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → NO · was 3¢ ~24h before · $157k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 97¢ ~24h before · $143k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 99¢ ~24h before · $141k
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → NO · was 3¢ ~24h before · $157k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 97¢ ~24h before · $143k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 99¢ ~24h before · $141k
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Midterms 2026 odds board (D = Democrats win) — Aug 16, 2026

Midterms 2026 odds board (D = Democrats win) · 78 days to Election Day
Senate (D): K 48¢ (+0) · P 52¢
House (D): K 85¢ (-1) · P 88¢
TX Sen (D): K 49¢ (-2) · P 52¢
MI Sen (D): K 57¢ (+1) · P 56¢ (+1)
OH Sen (D): K 51¢ (-3) · P 52¢ (-5)
#Midterms2026 #PredictionMarkets
Midterms 2026 odds board (D = Democrats win) · 78 days to Election Day
Senate (D): K 48¢ (+0) · P 52¢
House (D): K 85¢ (-1) · P 88¢
TX Sen (D): K 49¢ (-2) · P 52¢
MI Sen (D): K 57¢ (+1) · P 56¢ (+1)
OH Sen (D): K 51¢ (-3) · P 52¢ (-5)
#Midterms2026 #PredictionMarkets
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Aug 16, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles… 5¢→92¢ (+88) · $19k
K · Will Conversations with a Killer: The Charles M… 6¢→91¢ (+85) · $24k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles… 5¢→92¢ (+88) · $19k
K · Will Conversations with a Killer: The Charles M… 6¢→91¢ (+85) · $24k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket